Public Opinion

Opinion Poll from Demoskop: Social Democrats Decline, Center Party and Green Party Gain

The latest opinion poll from Demoskop, dated October 25, 2024, shows interesting changes in the Swedish political landscape. The Social Democrats are seeing a decline, while the Center Party and the Green Party are making gains. Here is a detailed review of the results:

Social Democrats and Left Party

The Social Democrats continue to lose support, now at 32.00%, compared to 32.80% in the previous Demoskop poll. This is in line with a downward trend where they were at 33.00% in Ipsos' survey on October 22. The Left Party has also seen a slight decrease to 8.40% from 8.90%, indicating a small but noticeable loss of support.

Green Party and Center Party

The Green Party has strengthened its position to 6.90%, up from 6.20% in the previous Demoskop survey. This is a positive trend for the party, which was at 6.00% in Ipsos' latest measurement. The Center Party sees a significant increase to 4.80% from 3.70%, which may be an indication that their policies are starting to have a greater impact.

Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats

The Moderate Party increases slightly to 20.20% from 19.70%, which can be seen as a stabilization after a period of fluctuations. The Sweden Democrats remain relatively steady at 19.20%, a marginal decrease from 19.90%, but continue to be a strong force in Swedish politics.

Christian Democrats and Liberals

The Christian Democrats experience a significant decline to 3.30% from 6.20%, which could pose challenges for the party moving forward. The Liberals decrease slightly to 3.20% from 3.40%, but still remain above 3%, which is a critical level for the party's future in the parliament.

Historical Trends and Analysis

Comparing these figures with previous surveys, we see that the support for the Social Democrats has been unstable, with a high of 35.10% in May according to Demoskop. The Moderates have shown a gradual recovery from a low of 17.20% in June according to Sentio. The Sweden Democrats have remained stable around 19-22% throughout the period, which shows their continued strong voter base.

Summary

This latest survey from Demoskop shows a dynamic political environment in Sweden. With the decline of the Social Democrats and the rise of the Center Party and the Green Party, we can expect an interesting political development moving forward. It remains to be seen how these trends will affect the political landscape as we approach the next election.