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The latest Swedish opinion poll from Indicator, published on May 27, 2026, shows minor changes for most parties compared to the previous survey from the same institute. The survey was conducted during the period May 4–24. The biggest increase is seen for the Sweden Democrats, while the Moderates and Christian Democrats experience slight declines.
The Social Democrats retain their position as the largest party with 33.7 percent, a marginal increase of 0.1 percentage points. The Sweden Democrats rise by 1.0 percentage points to 20.4 percent, representing the largest change in the survey. The Left Party and Green Party also note small increases, while the Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals decline slightly. The Centre remains roughly unchanged.
The changes compared to Indicator's previous survey are generally small. The 1.0 percentage point increase for the Sweden Democrats is noteworthy and strengthens the party’s position compared to previous months. The Moderates lose 0.8 percentage points, while the Christian Democrats' decline of 0.7 points brings them closer to the parliamentary threshold. The Liberals remain well below the threshold at 2.0 percent.
The Green Party and Left Party see slight increases, but these changes are within what can often occur between individual surveys. The Centre remains stable just above six percent.
A single opinion poll provides a snapshot, and small changes should be interpreted with caution. The figures from Indicator this month align with what other institutes have shown during May, with the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats as the largest parties and several smaller parties close to the threshold.
The low figures for the Christian Democrats and Liberals mean their future in Parliament remains uncertain if support does not increase. For those interested in tracking trends over time, current figures and historical charts are available on the opinion page.
How does Indicator's survey differ from other institutes?
Different institutes use different methods and sampling, which can lead to some differences in results. However, Indicator's figures are in line with other surveys from May 2026.
What does it mean if a party is below 4 percent?
Parties receiving less than four percent in a parliamentary survey risk not entering Parliament in a general election.
How significant are small changes in opinion polls?
Small changes can be due to randomness or temporary factors. It is therefore important to look at trends over multiple surveys rather than drawing broad conclusions from a single measurement.
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