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SCB Opinion Poll June 2026: Social Democrats Drop, Left Party Gains
The latest opinion poll from the Swedish Central Statistics Office (SCB), published on June 4, 2026, shows clear but mostly moderate changes in voter support compared to the previous survey from the same institute. The survey was conducted between April 28 and May 28, 2026. The Social Democrats decline, while the Left Party records its largest increase in a long time. At the same time, several parties are close to the parliamentary threshold.
Summary of the Results
The Social Democrats receive 33.9 percent, a decrease of 2.3 percentage points compared to SCB's previous measurement. The Left Party increases to 8.6 percent (+1.5). The Sweden Democrats stand at 18.3 percent, a marginal increase of 0.3 percentage points. The Moderates register 17.3 percent, down 1.0 percentage point.
- Left Party: 8.6% (+1.5)
- Social Democrats: 33.9% (−2.3)
- Green Party: 6.6% (+0.1)
- Center Party: 6.1% (+0.6)
- Liberals: 2.5% (−0.3)
- Moderates: 17.3% (−1.0)
- Christian Democrats: 4.5% (+1.1)
- Sweden Democrats: 18.3% (+0.3)
What Has Actually Changed
The most noticeable change is the Left Party's increase of 1.5 percentage points, placing the party well above its results in several other contemporary polls. The Social Democrats' decline of 2.3 percentage points is also noteworthy, although the party remains clearly the largest. The Christian Democrats increase by 1.1 percentage points and surpass the 4 percent threshold, while the Liberals, with 2.5 percent, remain well below the threshold in this measurement.
For the other parties, changes are minor. The Green Party and the Center Party show only marginal increases, while the Moderates decline slightly but remain at levels similar to recent months' averages. The Sweden Democrats see a very small rise and continue to stay just below 20 percent in SCB's measurement.
How Should the Poll Be Interpreted
Individual opinion polls can show temporary fluctuations and are affected by factors such as methodology and timing. However, SCB's survey is one of the most prominent and is often used as a reference, but smaller changes should still be interpreted with caution. Support for small parties can vary between institutes and over time.
It is also clear that the Christian Democrats and Liberals remain in or below the risk zone for the parliamentary threshold. For the Liberals, SCB's result of 2.5 percent indicates the party is below the threshold in yet another major survey, while the Christian Democrats' increase can be seen as a trend reversal in this particular measurement.
This article describes the results from SCB's opinion poll published on June 4, 2026. To get a better picture of the current political landscape, it is recommended to also follow compilations and historical trends on the opinion side.
Frequently Asked Questions about SCB's Opinion Poll June 2026
How does SCB's survey differ from other institutes?
SCB's survey is one of the largest and most comprehensive, but results can differ from other institutes due to different methods and sampling.
Why are the Liberals below the threshold?
The Liberals have had low support in several surveys over a longer period, which is also reflected in SCB's results for June 2026.
How significant are small changes in opinion polls?
Small changes should be interpreted cautiously, as they often fall within statistical uncertainty and can vary between different surveys.
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