Public Opinion

Novus Opinion Poll 2026-06-17: Social Democrats Lose, SD and KD Slightly Increase

Novus's latest opinion poll, conducted between June 1 and June 14, 2026, and published on June 17, shows continued movement among the Swedish parliamentary parties. The Social Democrats (S) clearly lose ground compared to the previous poll, while the Sweden Democrats (SD) and the Christian Democrats (KD) record smaller gains. The results from this specific survey should be interpreted with caution and in relation to other recent surveys.

Summary of the Results

The Social Democrats (S) receive 32.6 percent, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points since the previous Novus poll. The Moderates (M) also decline, from 18.2 to 16.6 percent. The Sweden Democrats (SD) increase to 20.0 percent (+0.8), and the Christian Democrats (KD) reach 5.6 percent, up 0.8 percentage points.

• Vänsterpartiet (V): 8.9% (+0.1)
• Miljöpartiet (MP): 6.4% (-0.7)
• Centern (C): 6.1% (+0.1)
• Liberalerna (L): 2.2% (-0.2)

The Green Party (MP) and the Liberals (L) see slight decreases. The Liberals remain well below the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent, while the Green Party stays above it.

What Has Actually Changed

The most noticeable change in this survey is the Social Democrats’ drop of over one percentage point, breaking a period of stability for the party. The Moderates’ decline is also evident, while SD and KD strengthen their figures slightly. Other parties move marginally, and most changes are within what can often be seen as normal statistical variation.

Compared to other institutes during the same period, Novus’s results align with the trend: the Social Democrats hover just over 32 percent in several polls, and SD has increased somewhat during early summer. The placement of the Green Party above the threshold is confirmed by several institutes, but the Liberals continue to struggle in other surveys as well.

How to Interpret the Poll

Opinion polls provide a snapshot and are influenced by both current politics and polling methods. A single poll, such as this one from Novus published on 2026-06-17, can show temporary movements and should not be taken as an exact forecast of the election result. Especially with small changes between polls, caution is advised in drawing conclusions.

To get a clearer picture of the public opinion, it is recommended to compare this poll with others and follow developments over time. Current summaries and historical trends are always available on the opinion polling page.

FAQ: Common Questions About the Opinion Poll

How significant is the change for the Social Democrats?
The Social Democrats have decreased by 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous Novus poll.

Which parties are closest to the threshold?
The Green Party is above the 4 percent threshold at 6.4 percent, while the Liberals are below at 2.2 percent.

How does this poll differ from other institutes?
The results are similar to other polls during the same period, but small variations occur between different institutes.