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Kantar-Sifo's opinion poll June 13, 2026 – minor changes among the parties
The latest Swedish opinion poll from Kantar-Sifo, published on June 13, 2026, reflects voter preferences during the period May 25 to June 7. The results generally show minor changes compared to the previous survey from the same institute, with only slight movements for most parties.
Summary of the results
The Social Democrats maintain their position as the largest party with 31.6 percent, but have lost 0.9 percentage points since the last Kantar-Sifo survey. The Sweden Democrats remain at 18.9 percent, with no change compared to earlier. The Moderates record 17.1 percent, a marginal decrease of 0.1 percentage points.
- Left Party: 8.7% (+0.8)
- Social Democrats: 31.6% (−0.9)
- Green Party: 7.8% (−0.1)
- Center Party: 5.4% (−0.1)
- Liberals: 2.0% (+0.0)
- Moderates: 17.1% (−0.1)
- Christian Democrats: 6.0% (+0.9)
- Sweden Democrats: 18.9% (+0.0)
What has actually changed
The biggest changes in this survey are the Christian Democrats' increase by 0.9 percentage points to 6 percent and the Left Party's rise by 0.8 percentage points to 8.7 percent. Meanwhile, the Social Democrats lose 0.9 percentage points, but the party remains clearly above the 30-percent level. Other parties fluctuate within ±0.1 percentage points, which is within the normal variation between individual surveys.
Parties near the threshold
The Liberals still record 2.0 percent, well below the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent, making their position in the opinion poll challenging. The Center Party and Christian Democrats are slightly higher with 5.4 and 6.0 percent, but not far from the threshold. The Green Party stands at 7.8 percent, thus maintaining some distance from the threshold in this survey.
Analyzing the opinion landscape over time shows that the larger parties – Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates – have had relatively stable figures during the spring, while smaller parties like the Liberals and Christian Democrats have varied more. Comparisons with other institutes also indicate that results may differ slightly between surveys.
How should the survey be interpreted
It is important to remember that a single opinion poll, such as this from Kantar-Sifo with the publication date June 13, 2026, should always be interpreted cautiously. Small changes may be due to temporary variations and do not necessarily reflect major shifts in voter opinions. To obtain a more robust picture of public opinion, it is wise to compare multiple surveys over time and from different institutes.
For those interested in following developments more closely, current figures and longer-term trends are collected on our opinion page. There, historical charts for Kantar-Sifo's surveys are also displayed.
Frequently asked questions about the opinion poll
What does this Kantar-Sifo poll show?
It shows voter preferences during the period May 25 to June 7, 2026, with the Social Democrats as the largest party and small changes for most parties.
Which parties are close to the threshold?
The Liberals are well below the threshold at 2.0 percent. The Center Party and Christian Democrats are closer but above it, with 5.4 and 6.0 percent respectively.
How should small changes in the survey be interpreted?
Small differences in opinion polls can be caused by random variations and do not necessarily mean that voters' opinions have changed significantly.
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