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Stable Levels in Ipsos Latest Opinion Poll – Small Movements Between Parties
Ipsos has presented its latest opinion poll, published on May 27, 2026, conducted between May 12 and 25. The results show generally small changes among the Swedish parliamentary parties compared to the previous Ipsos poll. The Social Democrats maintain their strong position, while some smaller parties continue to be close to the threshold for entering the parliament.
Summary of the Results
- Vänsterpartiet: 8% (-1 percentage point)
- Socialdemokraterna: 32% (unchanged)
- Miljöpartiet: 6% (-1 percentage point)
- Centern: 6% (unchanged)
- Liberalerna: 2% (unchanged)
- Moderaterna: 19% (unchanged)
- Kristdemokraterna: 5% (unchanged)
- Sverigedemokraterna: 20% (+1 percentage point)
The Social Democrats continue to be the largest party with 32 percent, unchanged since the last poll. The Sweden Democrats increase slightly to 20 percent, while the Moderates remain at 19 percent. Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet each lose one percentage point but are still above the threshold.
What Has Actually Changed
The biggest change in this poll is the Sweden Democrats' increase by one percentage point. Meanwhile, Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet each lose one percentage point. The other parties remain at the same levels as in the previous Ipsos poll. The Liberals continue to be well below the parliamentary threshold at 2 percent, while the Christian Democrats remain just above the threshold at 5 percent.
How to Interpret the Poll
It is important to remember that a single opinion poll should always be interpreted with some caution. Small changes of one percentage point are often within the margin of error and do not necessarily reflect a real change in opinion. To get a better picture of the political landscape, the results should be compared with multiple polls from different institutes over time.
Compared to other recent polls from May 2026, the Ipsos results align with the trend: the Social Democrats remain strong, the Sweden Democrats and Moderates are competing for second place, and several smaller parties are close to the threshold.
This article describes the results from the Ipsos poll published on May 27, 2026. For the very latest opinion figures, please refer to the opinion section where current and historical data are collected and continuously updated.
Frequently Asked Questions About the Opinion Poll
How close are the smallest parties to the parliamentary threshold?
The Liberals remain well below the threshold at 2 percent, while the Christian Democrats just meet the threshold at 5 percent. The Green Party and the Centre Party both stand at 6 percent.
Have there been any major changes compared to the previous Ipsos poll?
Only minor changes are observed: the Sweden Democrats increase by 1 percentage point, while Vänsterpartiet and the Green Party each lose 1 percentage point. The other parties remain stable.
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