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Latest Ipsos: Small changes in public opinion
Ipsos has published its latest opinion poll for Swedish parliamentary parties. The results show a stable situation with very small or no changes compared to the previous Ipsos poll. The Social Democrats remain the largest party, while the Liberals stay below the parliamentary threshold.
Summary of results
- Left Party – 9.0 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.0 p.p.)
- Social Democrats – 33.0 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.0 p.p.)
- Green Party – 6.0 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.0 p.p.)
- Center Party – 6.0 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.0 p.p.)
- Liberals – 2.0 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.0 p.p.)
- Moderates – 18.0 % (Δ vs previous: +1.0 p.p.)
- Christian Democrats – 4.0 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.0 p.p.)
- Swedish Democrats – 20.0 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.0 p.p.)
All parties except the Liberals are above the 4 % threshold. The Liberals receive 2.0 % and are at risk of being outside parliament if this were the election result.
Ipsos polling indicates an unusually stable public opinion, with no parties moving more than one percentage point compared to the previous poll.
Trends and historical data
Compared to Ipsos’s latest poll (2026-02-26), the changes are minimal. The Moderates increased by 1 percentage point, while other parties remain unchanged. Over the past months, the Social Democrats have stayed steady around 33–34 %, while the Swedish Democrats hover around 20–21 %. The Liberals have long been below the threshold in Ipsos polls.
Compared to other institutes during the same period, the levels are similar, but the Liberals have received higher support in some other polls. The Left Party and Green Party show small fluctuations between institutes but remain above the threshold in this poll.
Methodology and uncertainty
Ipsos reports support based on interviews with a sample of voters. Margins of error occur, and minor changes should be interpreted with caution. Exact details about sampling and margins of error are not included in this summary.
Common questions about opinion polls
- What does the change in percentage points (p.p.) mean?
It shows the difference in results compared to the previous poll from the same institute, expressed in percentage points. - How often are opinion polls conducted?
Most major institutes publish new polls every month, sometimes more frequently during election years. - What is the parliamentary threshold?
The threshold is 4 %. Parties receiving less than this usually do not gain seats in parliament. - How does the margin of error affect the results?
The margin of error shows how much the results can vary due to sampling. Small differences between parties may fall within the margin of error. - What is the difference between voter support and seats?
Voter support is the percentage of voters who would vote for a party. Seats are the positions the party gains in parliament, influenced by election results and the threshold.
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