Public Opinion

Demoskop opinion poll: Social Democrats still largest, Center increases

The latest opinion survey from Demoskop shows that the Social Democrats maintain their position as the largest party. The Center notes a clear increase, while the Left Party declines slightly compared to the previous poll. The results reflect a stable situation for the larger parties with some movement among the smaller ones.

Results at a glance

• Left Party – 6.80 % (Δ vs previous: −0.6 p.p.)
• Social Democrats – 33.30 % (Δ vs previous: +0.2 p.p.)
• Green Party – 6.30 % (Δ vs previous: +0.2 p.p.)
• The Center – 5.50 % (Δ vs previous: +1.0 p.p.)
• Liberals – 2.50 % (Δ vs previous: −0.1 p.p.)
• Moderates – 17.20 % (Δ vs previous: −0.6 p.p.)
• Christian Democrats – 5.30 % (Δ vs previous: −0.1 p.p.)
• Swedish Democrats – 21.20 % (Δ vs previous: +0.4 p.p.)

Among the parties, the Liberals remain below the 4 % threshold, while the other parties meet the threshold according to this poll.

Trends and history

Compared to Demoskop's previous measurement, the Center has increased by 1.0 percentage points, which is the most significant change among the parties. The Left Party loses 0.6 percentage points, while the Social Democrats and Green Party increase slightly. The Moderates decrease by 0.6 percentage points, and the Christian Democrats remain close to previous levels. The Swedish Democrats increase by 0.4 percentage points and approach their result from other institutes in February. The Liberals maintain their position below the threshold.

Looking at other recent polls from different institutes in February, Demoskop's results show a continued stable lead for the Social Democrats and a close race between the Moderates and Swedish Democrats for second place. The Center's increase in Demoskop differs from the more stable development seen in other institutes.

Method and uncertainty

Demoskop's survey is one of several opinion polls that regularly measure voter opinion. The results are influenced by sampling, methodology, and margins of error, meaning that minor changes between polls may fall within statistical uncertainty.

Frequently asked questions about opinion polls

• What does the change in percentage points (p.p.) mean?
  The change in percentage points shows the difference between the current measurement and the previous measurement from the same institute.
• How often are opinion polls conducted?
  The major opinion research institutes publish new polls approximately once or twice a month.
• What does the 4 % parliamentary threshold mean?
  Parties need at least 4 % of the votes in a poll to qualify for entry into parliament according to the regulations.
• How should the margin of error be interpreted?
  The margin of error means that small differences between parties in polls are not always statistically secure.
• What is the difference between voter support and seat distribution?
  Voter support shows the percentage of support in opinion polls, while seat distribution indicates the number of seats in parliament based on election results.