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Kantar-Sifo: Social Democrats increase, Center and SD lose ground
The latest opinion poll from Kantar-Sifo shows continued strong support for the Social Democrats, now reaching 34.3 percent. At the same time, both the Center and the Sweden Democrats are losing ground compared to the previous poll. The survey provides an up-to-date picture of the political landscape ahead of spring 2026.
Results at a glance
- Left Party – 7.40% (Δ vs previous: +0.20 p.p.)
- Social Democrats – 34.30% (Δ vs previous: +0.50 p.p.)
- Green Party – 6.00% (Δ vs previous: -0.60 p.p.)
- Center – 4.60% (Δ vs previous: -0.90 p.p.)
- Liberals – 2.00% (Δ vs previous: +0.20 p.p.)
- Moderates – 18.20% (Δ vs previous: +0.70 p.p.)
- Christian Democrats – 5.60% (Δ vs previous: +1.30 p.p.)
- Sweden Democrats – 20.10% (Δ vs previous: -1.20 p.p.)
Among parliamentary parties, the Liberals remain below the 4 percent threshold, while the other parties are above it.
This survey shows small but clear movements, with the Social Democrats and Moderates strengthening their positions while the Center and Sweden Democrats retreat.
Trends and history
The Social Democrats have increased by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous Kantar-Sifo survey and are also above 34 percent in several other institutes over the past month. The Moderates show an increase of 0.7 percentage points, in line with or slightly higher than other recent polls.
The Sweden Democrats have lost 1.2 percentage points since the last Kantar-Sifo, a decline also observed in other institutes, where SD now polls between 20 and 22 percent. The Center has decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 4.6 percent, still above the threshold but with a clear downward trend. The Christian Democrats have increased significantly (+1.3 p.p.) reaching 5.6 percent, the highest level in a long time in Kantar-Sifo's surveys.
The Liberals remain below the threshold at 2.0 percent despite a slight increase. The Green Party has declined slightly but remains above the threshold.
Methodology and uncertainty
Kantar-Sifo's surveys are conducted regularly and are based on interviews with a representative sample of voters. The results have a statistical margin of error, meaning small differences between parties may fall within this margin.
Frequently asked questions about opinion polls
- What does the change in percentage points (p.p.) mean?
It shows the difference in the party's support compared to the previous survey from the same institute. - How often are opinion polls conducted in Sweden?
Most institutes publish new polls every or every other month, sometimes more frequently before elections. - What does the 4 percent parliamentary threshold mean?
Parties receiving less than 4 percent of the votes in a parliamentary poll typically do not receive any parliamentary seats. - How should the margin of error be interpreted?
The margin of error indicates the statistical confidence interval. Small differences between parties may be uncertain. - What is the difference between voter support and mandates?
Voter support shows the proportion of voters who would vote for the party, while mandates are seats in parliament based on the election results.
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