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Poll Situation According to Ipsos: Calm Period for Parties
The latest opinion poll from Ipsos shows minor changes in voter support. The measurement provides a stable picture of the parties' standings, with the Social Democrats remaining the largest party and only marginal differences compared to Ipsos's previous survey. The survey is relevant as it provides an up-to-date snapshot of public opinion ahead of upcoming political decisions and debates.
Summary of Results
- Left Party – 8.00 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.00 p.p.)
- Social Democrats – 34.00 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.00 p.p.)
- Green Party – 6.00 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.00 p.p.)
- Center Party – 5.00 % (Δ vs previous: +1.00 p.p.)
- Liberals – 2.00 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.00 p.p.)
- Moderates – 18.00 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.00 p.p.)
- Christian Democrats – 4.00 % (Δ vs previous: ±0.00 p.p.)
- Swedish Democrats – 21.00 % (Δ vs previous: -1.00 p.p.)
Among the parliamentary parties, the Liberals remain below the four percent threshold, while the other parties meet the threshold according to Ipsos.
Ipsos's January survey shows uninterrupted stability for most parties, with only marginal movements in public opinion.
Trends and History
Looking at Ipsos's previous measurements, the changes are negligible: the Social Democrats remain at 34 %, the Left Party at 8 %, and the Green Party at 6 %. The Center Party has increased by one percentage point since December, while the Sweden Democrats have lost one percentage point. The Liberals remain below the threshold and have maintained the same level in Ipsos's last three surveys. The trend is also stable compared to other institutes, with the Social Democrats and Moderates holding their positions and smaller parties moving within narrow ranges.
Method and Uncertainty
This Ipsos survey is based on a representative sample of voters. Margin of error always exists in opinion polls, especially for smaller parties, so small changes should be interpreted with caution.
Frequently Asked Questions About Opinion Polls
- What does the change in percentage points mean?
The change in percentage points indicates the difference in support for a party between two measurement points, for example from 18 % to 19 % is +1 percentage point. - How often are opinion polls conducted?
Opinion research institutes regularly publish polls, often monthly, but sometimes weekly or more frequently before elections. - What does the 4 percent threshold mean?
A party must receive at least 4 % of the votes in the parliamentary election to enter the parliament according to Swedish election law. - How should margin of error be interpreted?
The margin of error indicates the range within which the true support is likely to lie. Small differences between parties can fall within the margin of error. - What is the difference between voter support and seats?
Voter support shows the proportion of voters who support a party, while seats are the number of positions the party receives in parliament based on the election results.
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