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Latest opinion poll indicator: Social Democrats still largest
Indicator has presented its latest opinion poll for the end of February 2026. The survey shows continued stability for the Social Democrats at the top, while several parties note small changes compared to the previous poll from the institute. The results provide a snapshot of the political landscape ahead of spring.
Summary of results
- Left Party – 8.10% (Δ vs previous: +0.6 p.p.)
- Social Democrats – 35.20% (Δ vs previous: -0.2 p.p.)
- Green Party – 4.70% (unchanged)
- Center Party – 5.30% (unchanged)
- Liberals – 1.30% (Δ vs previous: -0.1 p.p.)
- Moderates – 18.80% (Δ vs previous: -0.1 p.p.)
- Christian Democrats – 3.80% (Δ vs previous: -0.1 p.p.)
- Swedish Democrats – 21.30% (Δ vs previous: -0.1 p.p.)
The Green Party and the Center Party maintain their positions above the 4% parliamentary threshold, while the Liberals and Christian Democrats are below the threshold according to this poll.
Parties' changes are marginal, but the Left Party shows a slight increase while the smallest parties continue to struggle below the threshold.
Trends and history
Compared to Indicator's latest survey (2026-01-28), the Left Party has increased by 0.6 percentage points, while the Social Democrats have decreased slightly. The Green Party and the Center Party are unchanged. The Liberals and Christian Democrats have lost some support and remain below the parliamentary threshold. Support for the Sweden Democrats is largely stable, as is that for the Moderates.
Looking at recent months' surveys from several institutes, the Social Democrats remain the largest party, with the Left Party and the Green Party at stable levels. The Sweden Democrats and Moderates retain their positions as the second and third largest parties. The Liberals have consistently been below the threshold in multiple surveys, while the Christian Democrats fluctuate around 4%.
Method and uncertainty
Indicator's survey is based on a sample of voters. As with all opinion polls, there is statistical uncertainty, meaning small changes between surveys do not necessarily reflect real shifts in public opinion. The margin of error varies depending on the sample size and method.
Frequently asked questions about opinion polls
- What does the change in percentage points (p.p.) mean?
It shows the difference in a party's support compared to the previous survey from the same institute, expressed in percentage points. - How often are opinion polls published?
Opinion institutes usually publish new surveys every or every other month, but some do so more frequently. - What does the parliamentary threshold mean?
A party needs at least 4% of the votes in a parliamentary election poll to gain seats in parliament. - How should the margin of error be interpreted?
The margin of error indicates the interval within which the true support most likely lies. Small differences may therefore be statistically uncertain. - What is the difference between voter support and seats?
Voter support is the proportion of voters who say they would vote for a party; seats are the positions in parliament, calculated based on the election results.
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