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Demoskop: Social Democrats stable, Green Party increases in August survey
Demoskop has published its latest opinion poll for August 2025. The survey shows continued stability for the Social Democrats, while the Green Party notes a clear increase. The Liberals remain below the parliamentary threshold.
Results at a glance
- Left Party – 6.30 % (Δ vs previous: –1.1 p.p.)
- Social Democrats – 33.50 % (Δ: ±0.0 p.p.)
- Green Party – 7.30 % (Δ: +1.0 p.p.)
- Center Party – 4.60 % (Δ: –0.3 p.p.)
- Liberals – 2.70 % (Δ: –0.4 p.p.)
- Moderates – 17.90 % (Δ: –0.3 p.p.)
- Christian Democrats – 4.30 % (Δ: –0.1 p.p.)
- Swedish Democrats – 20.70 % (Δ: +0.2 p.p.)
Parties below the 4 % threshold: Liberals.
Parties just above the threshold: Christian Democrats and Center Party.
The Green Party is gaining ground and clearly establishing itself above the threshold, while the Liberals continue to remain below 4 percent.
Trends and history
The Social Democrats remain at 33.5 %, the same level as in Demoskop's June survey. The Green Party increases by 1.0 percentage points to 7.3 %, which is the highest level the party has had in Demoskop for several months. The Left Party drops to 6.3 %, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points compared to June. The Moderates and Center Party lose some support, while the Swedish Democrats increase slightly. The Liberals have now fallen to 2.7 % and have been below the threshold in all Demoskop surveys since June.
Blocks and mandates
Demoskop's survey does not report any block division or mandate distribution. Therefore, no summing or analysis of block balance is provided here.
Methodology and uncertainty
Details regarding sampling, field period, and margin of error have not been provided for this survey. The results should always be interpreted with some caution, as opinion polls have statistical uncertainties.
Frequently asked questions about opinion polls
- What does the change in percentage points (p.p.) mean?
It shows the difference in percentage compared to the previous measurement from the same institute. - How often are opinion polls conducted in Sweden?
Major institutes typically publish polls every month, sometimes more frequently. - What does the 4 % parliamentary threshold mean?
A party needs at least 4 % of the votes nationwide to enter the parliament. - How is the margin of error interpreted?
The margin of error indicates the interval where the true support is likely to lie. The smaller the sample, the larger the margin of error. - What is the difference between voter support and mandates?
Voter support is the proportion of voters indicating support for a party. Mandates are the seats a party obtains in parliament based on the election results.
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