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Novus Latest Poll: Social Democrats Decline, Sweden Democrats Grow
The latest poll from Novus, published today on May 28, 2025, reveals interesting shifts in the Swedish political landscape. While the Social Democrats continue to lose support, the Sweden Democrats are seeing an increase in popularity. Here is a closer look at the numbers and what they might mean for the future.
The Social Democrats and the Left Bloc
In the latest survey, the Social Democrats received 34.50% of voter support, a decrease from 36.70% in the previous Novus survey. Despite this, the Social Democrats remain the largest party. The Left Party has also seen a decline, from 8.10% to 7.20%. The Green Party, on the other hand, shows a slight increase from 4.60% to 5.00%, which may indicate regained confidence from their voters.
Center Party and Liberals: Gains in the Middle
The Center Party has made a significant increase from 4.30% to 6.50%, which can be seen as a recovery after previously weak results. The Liberals have also increased slightly from 2.50% to 2.60%, but still remain below the parliamentary threshold of 4%. Their future in parliament is thus still uncertain.
The Right Bloc: Sweden Democrats Grow, Moderates Decline
The Sweden Democrats have received 20.40% of the support, an increase from 19.20%, marking a continued upward trend for the party. The Moderates, on the other hand, have decreased from 19.90% to 18.50%, which may indicate that they are losing voters to the Sweden Democrats. The Christian Democrats see a slight decline from 3.20% to 2.90%, which also places them below the parliamentary threshold.
Historical Context and Future Implications
Compared to previous surveys from other institutes such as Ipsos and Kantar-Sifo, we see that the trends in the Novus survey confirm a continued challenging situation for the Social Democrats and Moderates. Meanwhile, the Sweden Democrats continue to strengthen their position as Sweden's second largest party. This development could lead to changes in how the parties shape their strategies for upcoming elections.
It is also worth noting that the Center Party, which previously had trouble attracting voters, now appears to be making a comeback. This could affect the power balance within the traditional bourgeois bloc.
Conclusion
This latest Novus poll provides an interesting insight into the dynamic changes within Swedish politics. With the decline of the Social Democrats and the rise of the Sweden Democrats, it is clear that the political landscape in Sweden is in flux. How the parties will adjust their strategies to meet these changes remains to be seen.
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